Risk Management Report: Iran
Risk Management Reports
Issue 993
- 22 May 2015
| 1 minute read
Iran was declared an Islamic Republic in 1979, following the
overthrow of the shah. Supreme leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei sits at the top
of the political system, his power checked by an elected president and
parliament; the conflict between theocracy and democracy dictates much of
the internal dynamic. The election of President Hassan Rouhani in June
2013, more moderate than his predecessor Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, has
proved a transitional moment in the republic’s external relations. The upward
trend arrow on Iran’s political risk grade reflects the possible impact of a deal
in the months ahead to resolve the long-running nuclear crisis, which has
seen the international community heavily sanction Iran to try and stop it
building a nuclear weapon (something Tehran denies it is doing). An interim
agreement was signed in Geneva in November 2013, and a ‘framework deal’
– another step towards something conclusive – agreed in April; the parties are
now trying to reach a final deal by 30 June, and, given how much is at stake,
there is reason to hope they will succeed.
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